Water GenbuTier 1
at DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1200–1469
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1210
Q3 1331
1469
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.7% | -16.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
